- Technical Article
- Open Access
Climatic benefits of black carbon emission reduction when India adopts the US on-road emission level
© The Author(s) 2015
Received: 13 July 2015
Accepted: 20 December 2015
Published: 29 December 2015
India is known to emit large amounts of black carbon (BC) particles, and the existing estimates of the BC emission from the transport sector in the country widely range from 72 ~ 456 Gg/year (for the 2000’s). First, we reduce the uncertainty range by constraining the existing estimates by credible isotope analysis results. The revised estimate is from 74 ~ 254 Gg/year. Second, we derive our own BC estimate of the transport section in order to gain a new insight into the mitigation strategy and value. Our estimate shows that the transport section BC emission would be reduced by about 69 % by adopting the US standards. The highest emission reduction comes from the vehicles in the 5–10 year old age group. The minimum emission reduction would be achieved from the vehicles in the 15–20 year old age category since their population is comparatively small in comparison to other age categories. The 69 % of 74 ~ 254 Gg/year is 51 ~ 175 Gg/year, which is the estimated BC emission reduction by switching to the US on-road emission standard. Assuming that global BC radiative forcing is 0.88 Wm−2 for 17.8 Tg/year of BC emission, we find that the reduced BC emission translates into −0.0025 ~ −0.0087 W m−2 in global forcing. In addition, we find that 51 ~ 175 Gg of BC emission reduction amounts to 0.046 – 0.159 B carbon credits which are valued at 0.56 – 1.92 B US dollars (using today’s carbon credit price). In a nutshell, India could potentially earn billions of dollars per year by switching from the current on-road emission levels to the US levels.
Black carbon (BC) is a product that results from incomplete combustion. Black carbon (BC) is also known as “soot” or “soot carbon" . BC aerosols are emitted as primary aerosols from fossil fuel combustion, biomass burning and biofuel burning, and thus largely anthropogenic. Specifically, the combustion of diesel and coal, the burning of wood and cow dung, savanna burning, forest fire and crop residue burning are the common sources for BC. In order to improve air quality, developed countries have reduced ambient aerosol concentration by a variety of measures in the last few decades. For instance, wood as the fuel for cooking was replaced by natural gas or electricity. This kind of clean-air act not only reduced the overall aerosol concentration (including BC concentration) but also reduced the relative amount of BC to other anthropogenic aerosols such as sulfate, as evident from the state-of-the-art emission estimate dataset by . Developing countries, conversely, have high levels of aerosol concentration and also a relatively large amount of BC . India too, as a developing nation, exhibits these characteristics. The BC emission in India has steadily increased .
BC has many unique aspects. First, while most aerosols scatter solar radiation and thus act to cool the earth, BC strongly absorbs sunlight and contributes to the global warming . Second, while CO2 itself is not an air pollutant, BC is both an air pollutant and climate warmer. Thus, reducing BC concentration is more easily justified than reducing CO2 concentration. Third, BC emission is generally much easier to mitigate than CO2 emission, since the former originates largely from poor life styles in developing countries. For example, it is much easier and cheaper to replace a cow-dung burning facility by a modern natural-gas stove in a kitchen than installing a solar panel. Fourth, since aerosols stay in the atmosphere for less than a few weeks, reducing BC emission results in an immediate reduction in BC concentration, whereas reducing CO2 emission leads to a reduction in CO2 concentration many decades later. In view of this fourth aspect, Ramanathan and Xu  and Shindell et al.  demonstrated using climate models that reducing BC emission is among the most effective tools to slow down the warming immediately.
In the current study, we aim to quantify the BC emission from the transport sector in India and how much this BC emission can be reduced by adopting the US on-road emission rates immediately. We do this because vehicles in India emit far more particulate matter (i.e., far more aerosols) per vehicle than in the West. The aerosols emitted from vehicles consist largely of black carbon . In comparison, biofuel combustion emits a relatively more organic carbon and less black carbon . While BC is definitely a climate warmer, organic carbon may be a cooler [8, 9]. Thus, BC emission decrease in the transport sector seems more appealing in combating the global warming than that in biofuel or biomass burning. Accordingly, , for instance, suggested that diesel engine is one of a few good examples for reducing BC emission and fighting the global warming. Diesel engines are the main contributor to aerosol emission from the transport sector [11–13]. Furthermore, mitigating diesel engine emissions would reduce BC concentration with a relatively small reduction in sulfate (a cooling agent), whereas mitigating emissions from coal combustion in power plants would reduce both BC and sulfate substantially . Thus, quantifying the BC emission in the transport section is very valuable in the global warming mitigation study.
Studies exist that estimated the BC emission from the road sector in India [7, 15–18]. These estimations give a widely-varying range of 71.76 ~ 456 Gg in the annual emission, and also a wide range of 6.5 % ~ 34 % in the percentage of the total BC emissions by the road transport sector. This large uncertainty in estimated BC emission or its contribution to total BC emission makes it difficult for policy makers to make decisions. Thus, one of the objectives in the present study is to reduce this uncertainty.
The novelty of our study is also that it quantifies the potential climatic benefits of mitigating the road transport sector BC emissions in India via implementation of the US on-road emission levels, which are more stringent than the Indian levels. Previous studies in this regard [19–21] quantified the percentage reduction by applying EU standards and our study is the first study to quantify the percentage reduction by applying the US standard. Applying the US standard has advantages because US standards have similar emission requirements for both diesel and gasoline vehicles. Europe emission regulations, relative to the counterpart U.S. program, tolerate higher PM emissions from diesel vehicles. Applying the US emission standards in India is particularly more important in order to target BC emissions from the heavy duty diesel vehicles (buses and trucks) in India. Not only do we quantify the BC emission reduction in switching to the US standard, we also translate this reduction into the climatic benefit by applying observationally-constrained (thus accurate) BC climate forcing estimation studies and today’s carbon emission price.
Lastly, in the present study, we will also attempt to quantify the contribution of different categories of vehicles towards the transport sector BC emissions in India for the year 2010 according to vehicle age. We do this, because this further information would be very valuable to environmental policy makers. We organize the paper in 4 sections. In Section 1, we provided a general overview of how this study was conducted and we highlighted the present state of transport sector emissions in India. Here, we also clarified some of the key findings from the similar studies conducted in the past and the shortcomings of the existing studies. In section 2, we discuss the methods we adopted for revising the existing estimates of the transport-sector BC emission in India and what approach we adopted for providing our own estimate the transport-sector BC emission in India. In Section 3, we discusses results. Here, we provided our own estimate of transport section BC emission and BC emission reduction by implementing higher emission standards. Section 3 also pertains to the BC forcing reduction and its monetary value and Section 4 is dedicated for discussions and conclusions.
Revising the existing estimates of the transport-sector BC emission in India
As stated earlier, the previous estimates of the BC emission from the road sector in India give a widely-varying range of 71.76 ~ 456 Gg in the annual emission, and also a wide range of 6.5 % ~ 34 % in the percentage of the total BC emissions by the road transport sector [7, 15–18]. The aforementioned estimates are based on a bottom-up approach, and there is a wide range in the estimates due to uncertainty in (a) fleet average emission factors and (ii) modelling of the on-road vehicle stock. Additionally, emission inventories without calibrating the national fuel balance would have much higher uncertainties .
The aforementioned previous BC emission estimates did not utilize the isotope analysis results by Gustafsson et al. . Most of carbon in the earth is carbon-12 (12C). 14C, also referred to as radiocarbon, is a radioactive isotope of carbon, and decays into nitrogen-14 over thousands of years. Live plants and animals maintain a high ratio of 14C to 12C by photosynthesis, vegetable eating and carnivores eating herbivores, as the source for 14C is cosmic rays in the atmosphere. Thus, biomass contains a high ratio of 14C to 12C. On the other hand, fossil fuel arose from vegetation and animals that died a long time ago, and therefore contains no 14C. The ratio of 14C to 12C is thus proportional to the ratio of biomass to fossil fuel. Gustafsson et al.  analyzed 14C mass and 12C mass data in collected aerosols, and apportioned the carbon between fossil fuel combustion and biomass/biofuel burning sources. Unlike in the previous BC emission estimates, the apportionment based on carbon isotope data should be considered non-controversial and credible. Furthermore, the aerosols collected for the analysis were in the South Asian outflow instead of near emission sources, which means that the results by Gustafsson et al.  represent the overall conditions in India. In view of this, in the present study we apply the results of Gustafsson et al.  to existing BC estimates.
Percentage share of road transport BC emissions to total BC emissions in India. (Adjustment in accordance with Gustafsson et al.’s isotope analysis)
Lu et al., 2011  (Emission year 2010)
4.00 – 5.00 %
Klimont et al., 2009  (Emission year 2010)
17.00 – 23.00 %
Bond et al., 2004  (Emission year 2009)
21.00 – 29.00 %
Sahu et al.,  (Emission year 2001)
10.67 – 14.62 %
Our own estimate of the transport-sector BC emission in India
In the present study, we develop our own estimate of the BC emission from the transport section in India because our own data would facilitate the quantification of BC emission reduction in the implementation of other emission standards. In addition, we provide BC emission according to the age categorization of the vehicles – a feature not represented in the previous studies and yet important for policy makers. In our estimation, we adopt an emission factor (EF) based approach with an aim to estimate the emissions for the year 2010. Emission factors (EFs) are relations between a specific emission and the concerned activity leading to that emission, and normally determined in an empirical manner. Road vehicle EFs represent a quantity of pollutants emitted given a unit distance driven, amount of fuel used or energy consumed . In addition to an EF-based technique, many other techniques are being used in the community for quantifying emissions from a large number of real world vehicles. These techniques include remote sensing of tailpipe exhaust, chassis dynamometer tests, random roadside pullover tampering studies, tunnel studies, and ambient speciated hydrocarbon measurements . Employing some of these techniques for determining actual vehicle emissions in our study would be very costly as it requires dedicated human resource. Thus, we use an emission factor based approach here.
As for the emission factors for Indian vehicles, we use the data from Baidya et al. . We use the emission factors from Baidya et al.  for the following main reasons. (a) Most importantly, they utilized the data in South Asia and South East Asia. (b) They constrained the categorization of vehicles by the data availability and data authenticity, thus accounting for the characteristics of data in South Asia. (c) In particular, the following key factors were considered within each vehicle category: Fuel vs. engine, and kinds of engine (e.g., two or four strokes). Thus their EF’s are well representative of local conditions in India and useful for the present study. Please note that Baidya et al.  provided the emission factors for particulate matter (PM) instead of BC, and they also gave the estimates of PM emission instead of BC emission. Here, we give BC emission estimates using known PM/BC ratios and these data for various categories.
We differentiated vehicles at different levels and obtained the emission factor for each category. First, on the basis of vehicles type such as heavy duty trucks, buses, cars and motorbikes. Motor bikes are further disaggregated as 2-stroke motorbikes and 4-stroke motor bikes. Second, the vehicles are differentiated on the basis of fuel type used – diesel or gasoline. Third, vehicles are further differentiated according to four age groups as: 0–5 year old, 5–10 year old, 10–15 year old and 15–20 year old. These age groups correspond to the 5-years brackets of the Indian exhaust emission regulations: Until 1990; 1991–1995; 1996–2000 and 2001–2005. For further classifying the vehicles according to age differentiation, we assumed the percentage of vehicle belonging to a specific age group such as 0 ~ 5 years old; 5 ~ 10 years old; 10 ~ 15 years old and 15 ~ 20 years old. Then we further assume the percentage distribution of trucks and buses for specific fuel types such as diesel and petrol. This disaggregation of vehicles into specific age groups is important for the purpose of this study because India has a significant percentage of the old vehicle fleets which have not yet retired and such old vehicles have considerably higher emission rates as the emission relevant parts deteriorate . The calculation of PM emissions using age specific emission factors is crucial for identifying the vehicles responsible for higher PM emissions and thus this could be used to design vehicular emission mitigation strategies.
PM emission factor by vehicle category and age group in India (from Baidya et al. 2009)
Heavy duty truck (diesel)
Diesel car (diesel)
Diesel car (gasoline)
Motorbike (2 stroke, gasoline)
Motorbike (4 stroke, gasoline)
ET(a,b,c) = Total Emissions
Popa,b,c = vehicle population
VKTa = annual vehicle kilometers traveled by vehicles of type a
EFa,b,c = Emission factor for vehicle per driven kilometer for vehicle type a, fuel type b, and emission standard c
We obtained the statistics of registered motor vehicles in India from various agencies in India, including the Ministry of Shipping, Road Transport & Highway. The data collection was extremely tedious due to an inferior information storage system in India. Data were obtained by combining internet search, peer-reviewed literature and reports, and personal communication with multiple research groups and agencies (both private and government agencies) in India and abroad via e-mails and phone calls. The annual average distance in kilometers travelled by various Indian vehicles was obtained from the Road Transport Yearbook  published by the Government of India. Upon analyzing the data, we found that older vehicles travelled lesser distance compared to the newer vehicles. The data are sorted out in terms of vehicle category, fuel type (diesel or gasoline), type of engine (two or four strokes), operation (e.g. taxi and private use for passenger cars and the emission control standard compliance. Driving conditions are defined as either urban or rural conditions. We categorized vehicles broadly into the following four categories: trucks (diesel), buses (diesel), passenger cars (including taxis and private cars powered by diesel and gasoline) and motor bikes (2-stroke and 4-stroke motor bikes powered by gasoline). The percentage share of each categoriy of vehicles on the basis of fuel type has been obtained from The Automotive Research Association of India (ARAI). Motorized two wheelers are differentiated by two stroke and four stroke engine.
For compliance with the latest emission regulation (i.e., emission regulation for 2010), we assumed that vehicles manufactured in a specific emission year are in compliance with the emission legislation enforced by Indian government in that model year and the vehicles were not improved (in terms of emission factor) afterwards. So, the compliance with the latest emission legislation is factored in this fashion. For example, let us say, a vehicle is manufactured in the model year 1998. Then we can say that this vehicle can be assigned an age group of 10–15 year old from the year 2010 standpoint. This will correspond to the Indian exhaust emission regulation during the 5-year bracket of 1996–2000. The emission factor for this specific vehicle is calculated from the emission standards during the 5-year bracket of 1996–2000. Please note that there is a lack of Inspection and Maintenance (I & M) data for Indian vehicles. If such data were available, we did not need to make the aforementioned assumptions.
PM emission reduction if India adopts US on-road emission level
Present Indian on-road emission levels
Present U.S on-road emission levels
Reduction in PM emission in switching from Indian emission levels to the US on-road emission levels
PM emission (kilotons/year) (Total-all age category)
PM emission in kilotons/year) (Total-all age category)
Petrol passenger car
Motor Bike-2S petrol
Motor Bike-4S petrol
Estimated BC emission from on-road mobile sources in India
PM emission (Gigagram/year)
BC emission = (BC/PM) ratio PM emission (Gigagram/year)
Indian on-road emission level
On-road diesel vehicles
On-road gasoline vehicles
US on-road emission level
On-road diesel vehicles
On-road gasoline vehicles
BC emission reduction when India adopts the US on-road emission levels
First, we obtain the emission factors for US vehicles using US EPA MOVES.
We compare the emission factors for Indian vehicles, as discussed in section 2.2, with those for US vehicles obtained in this section.
Then, we calculate the reduction in BC emission in switching from Indian emission levels to the US emission levels.
Emission factors for US vehicles
The emission factors for US vehicles were derived using the EPA’s MOVES model for the year 2010. MOVES is currently the US state-of-the-art model for estimating on-road emissions. MOVES2010b is the latest version of MOVES. MOVES gives an emission for each driving mode and in this regard is considered a modal emission model. In the following, we summarize the main features of the model based on the work by Bai et al.  and the model documentation. Owing to the modal nature of the MOVES emission rates, MOVES is capable of quantifying emissions accurately on various scales (e.g., individual transportation projects as well as regional emission inventories). The current improved design of the model has the following advantages – a) the databases can be easily updated as per the availability of the new data; and b) the model permits and simplifies the import of data relevant to the user’s own needs. The MOVES model applies various corrections for temperature, humidity, fuel characteristics, etc., before it comes up with emission estimates. MOVES also bases emission estimates on representative cycles, not on single emission rates. Furthermore, MOVES is different from traditional models such as MOBILE and EMFAC, in that a) instead of using speed correction factors, MOVES uses vehicle specific power and speed in combination; and b) it factors in vehicle operating time instead of mileage for determining emission rates. In view of this, we believe MOVES is a superior analysis tool.
In this study, we specified the following parameters as the input parameters while running the MOVES model: a) geographic bound, we chose the national level; b) time span, the year 2010; c) road type, we specified urban road with unrestricted access; and d) in the emission source, we selected all the exhaust processes (consisting of running exhaust; start exhaust; crankcase running exhaust; crankcase start exhaust ; crankcase extended idle exhaust ; extended idle exhaust) but did not include the emissions from fueling or evaporation since our BC emission estimate in section 3 did not include the latter source either.
The model output we used is the total travelled distance and annual PM2.5 emission. This output data was selected against specific vehicle types from the MySql output database of MOVES. Then, we compute emission factors by dividing total emission by total distance traveled and this gave us emission factors in gram/km for corresponding vehicle types. The emission factors were further sorted based on vehicle age. The vehicle age is calculated as a difference of reference year (year 2010) and the manufacturing year and finally, we inserted these emission factors in equation 1 discussed in chapter 3, to obtain total PM emission according to the US emission levels.
Comparison of emission factors: Indian vehicles vs. US vehicles
Here, we summarize the merits of four stroke engines over two stroke engines and vice-versa from the study by Kojima et al.  published with the World Bank. Their study primarily focused on reducing emissions from two-stroke engines in South Asia. The key advantages of 4-stroke engines over 2-stroke gasoline engine vehicles are: lower particulate and hydrocarbon emissions, better fuel economy, and moderate noise levels while in operation. However, the only relative advantages of 2-stroke engines are: lower purchase prices; mechanical simplicity leading to low maintenance costs; and lower NO2 emissions. Our comparative analysis of the emission factors from 2-stroke and 4-stroke engine technologies clearly points out the need for encouraging 4-stroke two wheelers over 2-stroke two wheelers in India. This implies that the pollution levels can be brought down to safer levels in spite of the rising two-wheeler population if the 4-stroke technology for the two-wheeler segment is promoted in India.
Reduction in BC emission in switching to the US emission levels
Our estimate of BC emission in section 3 is not necessarily a better estimate than previous ones. Thus, we restrict our BC emission estimate to the use of the ratio of the emission factors in India to those in US. This ratio is combined with the adjusted previous estimates (according to Gustafsson et al. , as discussed in section 2) to yield the reduction of BC emission. For the total BC emission reduction from all the vehicles in India, we apply the 69 % BC emission reduction to the adjusted previous estimates. The 69 % of 74 ~ 254 Gg/year is 51 ~ 175 Gg/year. This is the estimated BC emission reduction by switching to the US on-road emission standard.
BC radiative forcing reduction and its value
We calculated earlier that 51 ~ 175 Gg/year of BC emission reduction is possible in India (year 2000’s) from the road transport sector if India adopts the US on-road emissions levels. Based on the study by Cohen and Wang  and Bond et al. , 17.8 Tg/year (i.e. 17800 Gigagram/year) of global BC emission makes 0.88 W/m2 of global BC forcing. We estimate that 51 ~ 175 Gg/year of BC emission reduction contributes to a reduction of −0.0025 ~ −0.0087 W m−2 in global BC forcing. Thus, we conclude that a reduction in BC forcing of −0.0025 ~ −0.0087 W m−2 is possible if India adopts the US on-road emissions levels.
Quantifying climatic benefits of a reduction in BC forcing (in USD)
Applying Bond et al.’s  estimate for the BC GWP, we find that 51 ~ 175 Gg/year of BC emission reduction amounts to 0.046 billion - 0.159 billion carbon credits. Using $12.104 (US dollars) as the average price of 1 carbon credit, as shown in Fig. 6, 0.046 billion - 0.159 billion credits are valued at $ 0.56 B – $ 1.92 B (US dollars). In short, India could earn $ 0.56 B – $ 1.92 B (US dollars) every year by switching from the current on-road emission levels to the US levels. Please note that the Kyoto Protocol did not address BC but the next climate treaty will likely include BC.
We furthermore note that the 5th IPCC report  endorsed Bond et al.’s  study as a credible estimate of BC GWP. Bond et al.’s  estimate can be considered credible for many reasons. First, observationally-constrained estimates of BC forcing were used, and thus these estimates are similar to that of Cohen and Wang . Second, the rapid adjustment due to the atmospheric heating by BC (i.e., semi-direct forcing) was included as well, and in this aspect the best semi-direct forcing estimate was used.
Conclusion and discussions
The existing estimates of the BC emission from the transport sector in India have a wide range of values, giving huge uncertainties in this regard. In the present study, we have substantially reduced the uncertainty by constraining the existing estimates with credible isotope analysis results. Next, we have derived our own BC estimate of the transport section, and then we have provided the estimate of anticipated BC emission reduction possible in India as a result of switching to the more stringent US on-road emission levels. This emission reduction is found to be about 69 %, and coupled with the adjusted previous BC emission estimates the emission reduction is expected to be in the range of 51 ~ 175 Gg of BC per annum. What is more, we have expressed the proposed BC emission reduction in terms of global BC radiative forcing, which is estimated to range from −0.0025 ~ −0.0087 W m−2, i.e., a reduction of global BC forcing by 0.0025 ~ 0.0087 W m−2 due to a reduction of BC emission in India. We have also quantified the climate benefits of the BC emission reduction in USD. The BC reduction of 58.2 ~ 151.3 Gg is equivalent to 0.046 billion - 0.159 billion carbon credits which are valued at $ 0.56 B US dollars – $ 1.92 B US dollars (using today’s carbon credit price).
Although we fully accounted for uncertainties in estimating the BC emission from the transport section in India, we did not address the uncertainties in the 69 % reduction estimate, nor did we assess the uncertainties in local BC forcing or BC GWP. In our view, addressing these uncertainties is beyond the scope of the current paper and deserves a separate study. To elaborate, BC GWP is not globally uniform. BC emission in some areas can contribute to the global warming more than the emission of the same amount in other areas, since BC forcing depends on sunlight, low cloud fraction, etc. Even if we consider the uncertainty in global BC GWP, we also need to evaluate local BC GWP and address its uncertainty. To simplify the computation, we used the best estimate of global BC forcing and BC GWP and scaled these numbers to estimate the climatic benefit of reducing the BC emission in India. Nevertheless, we believe the ranges of all the estimates in our study are sufficiently large to cover most uncertainties, because we maximized the uncertainties in estimating the BC emission from the transport sector (by picking possibly the most extreme values to represent the range), and the other estimates are based on the BC emission estimates.
Overall, our study provides another reason that vehicles should be cleaner in India. Why the vehicles in India emit more aerosols than those in the US needs additional discussions, as there are many factors behind this. There are studies [21, 22, 29] and government reports [19, 37] which highlight key reasons accountable for excessive particulates emission from Indian vehicles. One of the key reasons relates to the Indian emission controls, as they have been traditionally based on Euro style emission standards. Such emission standards allow higher particulate emissions from diesel vehicles compared to the gasoline vehicles. In comparison, the US has been setting and reinforcing the same standards without considering any specific type. In another reason, emission standards in India are lax compared to international best practices. The lax standards in India reflect that Indian schedules for adopting emission and fuel quality standards lag those in the West. Other reasons include a weak enforcement of emission standards; and a significant percentage of older vehicles in India which are poorly maintained and have poor fuel economy.
An additional and important cause of excessive emission from Indian vehicles might be that transport fuels in India have high sulfur content which results in higher sulfate emissions. During combustion, sulfur in diesel fuel is emitted in the form of sulfur dioxide (SO2) gas which later condenses and becomes sulfate aerosols in the atmosphere. SO2 emission is not part of PM emission in typical PM estimation studies (since gas is not aerosol) but SO2 gas (at least some of it) ultimately becomes aerosols. Since the present study is about BC aerosols, we refrain from discussing high sulfur content extensively here.
In the end, vehicles in India emit excessive aerosols because such dirty vehicles are cheap to buy and operate. Such dirty vehicles are common among poor countries and so this is not limited to India. Clean technological solutions are available but unfortunately at additional costs. We discuss some technology examples in the next. Compared to gasoline engines, diesel engines have lower CO and HC gas emissions but higher NOx and PM emissions . In gasoline engines tailpipe emissions can be significantly reduced by an efficient use of three-way catalytic converters, but at the expense of fuel economy . In general, the emission control technologies for diesel and gasoline engines can be broadly divided into two groups: in-cylinder control and after-treatment control . Posada et al.  give a good review of these emission control technologies. For instance, for diesel emission controls, PM filters are an example of after-treatment tools. Minjares et al.  and EPA  report that these particle filter devices reduce diesel PM emissions by as much as 85 to 90 % and BC emissions by up to 99 %.
Despite all these costs, the benefits could be substantial. Here, we have discussed the benefits by adopting the US on-road aerosol emission levels immediately. The idea of switching the on-road emission to the US levels immediately is unrealistic. Thus, our results can be taken as the upper limit of the benefit and such results are still useful to policymakers. On the other hand, while we only discussed the climate benefits, the benefits are not limited to the climate, and more importantly pertain to health benefits. A number of studies [31, 39, 42–45] substantiated the health benefits of BC emission reduction. It has been well established that fine particulates emitted from diesel motor vehicles contain toxic substances and the exposure to these fine particles can prompt lung tumor, serious respiratory grimness and mortality including wellbeing results, for example, worsening of asthma, interminable bronchitis, respiratory tract contaminations, coronary illness and stroke.
Besides the issues of outdated vehicle technology in India, there are other issues (behavioral and psychological issues) such as a lack of environmental conviction in the Indian car consumers that leads to higher traffic emissions [46–48]. They often dump old tires, battery or even scrap car. Irrespective of a large number of consumers who are conscious about the environment, very few people are actually willing to adapt their lifestyle in order to solve the issues such as deteriorating air quality. There is a very negligible percentage of people who actually push themselves out of their comfort zone by acting at their personal expenses, such as paying premiums for environmentally friendly products and making a sacrifice in their present lifestyles. Therefore, there is a need of behavioral changes at personal level which includes - (i) raising public awareness to prefer public transportation to using personal vehicles; (ii) living near the workplace rather than commuting a long distance to workplace every day; (iii) car pool; and (iv) commuting to workplace with bicycles. The increasing use of public transportation would mean fewer vehicles on the road, which means less emission and less negative effects on climate and health . Hence, there is not a single effective tool to mitigate transport sector emissions. Taken together, we propose that in order to assure effective environmental protection, psychological as well as technological measures need to be in place.
The authors are thankful to Dr. George Scora of University of California Riverside University of California, Riverside), Dr. Sarath Guttikunda of Urban Emissions, India, Mr. Michael P. Walsh, Mr. Gaurav Bansal, Mr. John German of ICCT (Washington, DC), Mr. Stevens Plotkins of Argonne National Laboratory, and Mr. Narayan Iyer of Bajaj Auto-India for their expertise. We are also thankful to the government and semi-government agencies such as US EPA, CARB, CSE (Delhi), SIAM (India) and ARAI (India) for their prompt responses to our data requests and doubts in using emission models. This research was funded by the Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program under Grant Weather Information Service Engine (WISE) project (#: KMA-2012-0001).
Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
- Andreae M, Gelencsér A (2006) Black carbon or brown carbon? The nature of light-absorbing carbonaceous aerosols. Atmos Chem Phys 6(10):3131–3148View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Lamarque J-F, Bond TC, Eyring V, Granier C, Heil A, Klimont Z, Lee D, Liousse C, Mieville A, Owen B (2010) Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application. Atmos Chem Phys 10(15):7017–7039View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Novakov T, Ramanathan V, Hansen J, Kirchstetter T, Sato M, Sinton J, Sathaye J: Large historical changes of fossil‐fuel black carbon aerosols. Geophysical Res Letters 2003, 30(6). doi:10.1029/2002GL016345.
- Chung CE, Ramanathan V, Decremer D (2012) Observationally constrained estimates of carbonaceous aerosol radiative forcing. Proc Natl Acad Sci 109(29):11624–11629View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Ramanathan V, Xu Y (2010) The Copenhagen accord for limiting global warming: criteria, constraints, and available avenues. Proc Natl Acad Sci 107(18):8055–8062View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Shindell D, Kuylenstierna JC, Vignati E, van Dingenen R, Amann M, Klimont Z, Anenberg SC, Muller N, Janssens-Maenhout G, Raes F (2012) Simultaneously mitigating near-term climate change and improving human health and food security. Science 335(6065):183–189View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Bond TC, Streets DG, Yarber KF, Nelson SM, Woo JH, Klimont Z: A technology‐based global inventory of black and organic carbon emissions from combustion. J Geophysical Res Atmospheres (1984–2012) 2004, 109(D14). doi:10.1029/2003JD003697.
- Myhre G, Bellouin N, Berglen TF, Berntsen TK, Boucher O, Grini A, Isaksen IS, Johnsrud M, Mishchenko MI, Stordal F (2007) Comparison of the radiative properties and direct radiative effect of aerosols from a global aerosol model and remote sensing data over ocean. Tellus B 59(1):115–129View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Stier P, Seinfeld JH, Kinne S, Boucher O (2007) Aerosol absorption and radiative forcing. Atmos Chem Phys 7(19):5237–5261View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Bond TC, Doherty SJ, Fahey D, Forster P, Berntsen T, DeAngelo B, Flanner M, Ghan S, Kärcher B, Koch D (2013) Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment. J Geophysical Res Atmospheres 118(11):5380–5552View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Kroeger T: Black Carbon Emissions in Asia: Sources, Impacts and Abatement Opportunities. Contractor Report Prepared by International Resources Group for USAID, ECO-Asia Clean Development and Climate Program USAID Regional Development Mission for Asia. USAID: Bangkok, Thailand 2010.Google Scholar
- Liggio J, Gordon M, Smallwood G, Li S-M, Stroud C, Staebler R, Lu G, Lee P, Taylor B, Brook JR (2012) Are emissions of black carbon from gasoline vehicles underestimated? Insights from near and on-road measurements. Environ sci Technol 46(9):4819–4828View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Minjares R, Wagner D, Baral A, Chambliss S, Galarza S, Posada F, SHARPE B, Wu G, Blumberg K, Kamakate F (2014) Reducing black carbon emissions from diesel vehicles: impacts, control strategies, and cost-benefit analysis. The World BankGoogle Scholar
- Garg A, Shukla P, Bhattacharya S, Dadhwal V (2001) Sub-region (district) and sector level SO< sub > 2</sub > and NO< sub > x</sub > emissions for India: assessment of inventories and mitigation flexibility. Atmos Environ 35(4):703–713View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- LU J (2011) Environmental Effects of Vehicle Exhausts, Global and Local Effects: A Comparison between Gasoline and Diesel. Thesis, Halmstad UniversityGoogle Scholar
- Klimont Z, Cofala J, Xing J, Wei W, Zhang C, Wang S, Kejun J, Bhandari P, Mathur R, Purohit P (2009) Projections of SO2, NOx and carbonaceous aerosols emissions in Asia. Tellus B 61(4):602–617View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Sahu S, Beig G, Sharma C: Decadal growth of black carbon emissions in India. Geophysical Research Letters 2008, 35(2). DOI:10.1029/2007GL032333.
- Reddy MS, Venkataraman C (2002) Inventory of aerosol and sulphur dioxide emissions from India. Part II—biomass combustion. Atmos Environ 36(4):699–712View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- ARAI.: The Automotive Research Association of India, 2007. Emission Factor Development for Indian Vehicles, As a Part of Ambient Air Quality Monitoring and Emission Source Apportionment Studies. AFL/2006‐07/IOCL/Emission Factor Project/2007.Google Scholar
- Baidya S (2008) Trace Gas and particulate matter emissions from road transportation in India: quantification of current and future levels. Reports in University of Stuttgart, StuttgartGoogle Scholar
- Bansal G, Bandivadekar A (2013) OVERVIEW OF INDIA’S VEHICLE EMISSIONS CONTROL PROGRAM. ICCT, Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, San Francisco, WashingtonGoogle Scholar
- Baidya S, Borken-Kleefeld J (2009) Atmospheric emissions from road transportation in India. Energy Policy 37(10):3812–3822View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Gustafsson Ö, Kruså M, Zencak Z, Sheesley RJ, Granat L, Engström E, Praveen P, Rao P, Leck C, Rodhe H (2009) Brown clouds over South Asia: biomass or fossil fuel combustion? Science 323(5913):495–498View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Franco V, Kousoulidou M, Muntean M, Ntziachristos L, Hausberger S, Dilara P (2013) Road vehicle emission factors development: A review. Atmos Environ 70:84–97View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Sawyer RF, Harley RA, Cadle S, Norbeck J, Slott R, Bravo H (2000) Mobile sources critical review: 1998 NARSTO assessment. Atmos Environ 34(12):2161–2181View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Central Pollution Control Board MoEF (2011) Air Quality Monitoring, Emission Inventory and Source Apportionment Study for Indian Cities. Ministry of Environment & Forests: IndiaGoogle Scholar
- Ramachandra T (2009) Emissions from India’s transport sector: Statewise synthesis. Atmos Environ 43(34):5510–5517View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Nagpure AS, Sharma K, Gurjar BR (2013) Traffic induced emission estimates and trends (2000–2005) in megacity Delhi. Urban Climate 4:61–73View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Sahu SK, Beig G, Parkhi N (2014) Critical emissions from the largest on-road transport network in south Asia. Aerosol Air Qual Res 14(1):135–144Google Scholar
- Ministry of Road Transport and Highways I (2012) India road transport year book 2009–2011. Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (India), New Delhi, IndiaGoogle Scholar
- EPA U: Report to Congress on black carbon. US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC. 2012, EPA-450/R-12-001 388pp.Google Scholar
- Bai S, Eisinger D, Niemeier D: MOVES vs. EMFAC (2009) A Comparison of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Using Los Angeles County. In: Transportation Research Board 88th Annual Meeting, Paper: Washington DC. 09–0692.Google Scholar
- Das S, Schmoyer R, Harrison G, Hausker K (2001) Prospects of inspection and maintenance of two-wheelers in India. J Air Waste Manage Assoc 51(10):1391–1400View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Kojima M, Brandon C, Shah JJ: Improving urban air quality in South Asia by reducing emissions from two-stroke engine vehicles. In.: World Bank; 2000Google Scholar
- Cohen JB, Wang C: Estimating global black carbon emissions using a top‐down Kalman Filter approach. J Geophysical Res Atmospheres 2014 199;307-323 Google Scholar
- Randall, D.A., R.A. Wood, S. Bony, R. Colman, T. Fichefet, J. Fyfe, V. Kattsov, A. Pitman, J. Shukla, J. Srinivasan, R.J. Stouffer, A. Sumi, K.E. Taylor, 2007: Cilmate Models and Their Evaluation. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor, H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.Google Scholar
- Ministry of Shipping RTH, Government of India; ARAI.: 2007.Google Scholar
- Mondt JR (2000) Cleaner Cars: The history and technology of emission control since the 1960s; Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc.Google Scholar
- Zelenka P, Cartellieri W, Herzog P (1996) Worldwide diesel emission standards, current experiences and future needs. Appl Catal B Environ 10(1):3–28View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Faiz A, Weaver CS, Walsh MP (1996) Air pollution from motor vehicles standards and technologies for controlling emissions. World Bank, Washington, D.CView ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Minjares R, Blumberg K, Posada Sanchez F (2013) Alignment of policies to maximize the climate benefits of diesel vehicles through control of particulate matter and black carbon emissions. Energy Policy 54:54–61View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Lim SS, Vos T, Flaxman AD, Danaei G, Shibuya K, Adair-Rohani H, AlMazroa MA, Amann M, Anderson HR, Andrews KG (2013) A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 380(9859):2224–2260View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Ghose MK, Paul R, Banerjee S (2004) Assessment of the impacts of vehicular emissions on urban air quality and its management in Indian context: the case of Kolkata (Calcutta). Environ Sci Pol 7(4):345–351View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Sydbom A, Blomberg A, Parnia S, Stenfors N, Sandström T, Dahlen S (2001) Health effects of diesel exhaust emissions. Eur Respir J 17(4):733–746View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Morgan W, Reger R, Tucker D (1997) Health effects of diesel emissions. Ann Occup Hyg 41(6):643–658View ArticleGoogle Scholar
- Klocke U (2000) Conditions of environmental mobility decisions: environmental protection through government action, at the individual. In: Scholl W, Sydow H (eds) Association for European transport and contributors 2009 16 modal choice and when buying a car. Mobility in adolescence and adulthood, Waxmann, MünsterGoogle Scholar
- Kruger N, Pareigis J: Influencing Car Buying Decisions from an Environmental Perspective-A Conceptual Framework Based on Real Option Analysis. In: European Transport Conference, 2009: Netherlands 2009Google Scholar
- Joshi N, Rao P: Environment Friendly Car: Challenges ahead in India. Global J Manage Business Res 2013, 13(4):11-19.Google Scholar
- Laffel N (2006) Promoting Public Transportation for Sustainable Development. Thesis, Princeton UniversityGoogle Scholar